Weather looking awful for Saturday - can only hope it carries on into the Sunday 
Thanks Paul!
I've been stuck in for nearly 3 weeks now........I'll have to go somewhere!
I didn't go this long all through the winter.
Alun.
ok mike it's your call mate i will go with your weather report you got it spot on last weekend 
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mark b
I was reading a Met Office doc yesterday that suggested that the current trend of northerly biased winds with continual lows tracking WSW to NE is due to a slow down in the west/east jet stream. This is due to exceptionally warm weather over the Canadian prairies (the cause of the vicious tornadoes they are having at the moment). The bad news for us is that these conditions usualy last for a long time (3 to 4 weeks). Based on current estimates they do not expect any great change in the outlook for another 10 to 14 days. In fact even more gloomily if they have not changed by then the trend will continue throughout the 'summer'.
Mad Mike
Mike
When do you think you will make the decsision about the Comp?
I have been loaned a boat again but need to make some decisions on other things to free up some fishing time
Tides are a lot bigger this Sunday so potential for wind over tide kicking up the sea is greater
Charlie
Windguru forecasting Southerly F4/5 and wave heights of 2.8 metres.
BBC forecasting rain, rain and more rain.
Those synoptic charts not looking good.
Not a gambling man, but I suspect I shall have a chance to fish the second BFM comp !
Between Mike and I we have made a decision to always aim to call the comps by 6pm on a Friday eve. It will be posted here.
On the odd occasion that the weather looks marginal, we may decide to post here on Friday, but delay the final decision to Sat, with the very latest descision to be made by 5pm.
Also - with regards to re-scheduling comps, a decision has been made to always choose the next suitable date, this avoids any backlogs of unfished comps at the end of the year.
Adam
All,
I have been asked to make the call by Friday evening if at all possible. This gives two risks:
- the grim weather forecast for Saturday might not clear as fast as forecast, and the outlook for Sunday might be wrong on the Friday (meaning Friday it might be "on", then late Saturday have to call it "off");
- the Saturday weather might clear faster than expected on Friday, the isobars move apart, wind lessens, and conditions improve faster than forecast (meaning on Friday it might be called "off", but late Saturday it becomes clear it would have been fishable).
So long as all accept these two risks, and the call can be made wrong, I'll make the call Friday evening in the following manner:
- If after consultation and collaboration it's called "off", then I won't go back on the decision, allowing people to rearrange their weekend. People can still fish if they want in a location of their choosing, but not for the comp, which will be re-arranged to another date.
- If it's left "on", and conditions deteriorate unnacceptably, to more than was forecast on the Friday, I will post on here a late cancellation by Saturday evening. Please check to make sure!
Hope this makes sense, and is the most pragmatic approach.
Mike
Safety Officer
PS It looks grim for Sunday already, and it's only Thursday.
Adam/Mike
Perfek with maybe more variances to follow after the committee meeting
Martin
i think i am going to give sunday a miss windguru are forecasting 20 knot winds now not good 
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mark b
News: Adam and I independently came to the same conclusion, slightly earlier than we had expected - the competition on Sunday is OFF, and will be deferred. Adam will post the revised date shortly.
The prevailing Inshore Forecast is here:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine...area=7&type=All
Look at how close the isobars are on the synoptic charts that cover the inshore forecast period:
http://www.meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm
Then scroll through to see the synoptic charts for the rest of Sunday. Isobars equally tightly spaced, more fronts, etc.
At the time of posting, Sunday info is not yet available from our Met Office, but I would anticipate SW-S 5 or 6, blustery showers, with gusts of 25-30 knots. That occluded front with the Low right over us could also mean Moderate to Poor visibility as well.
Please note that it is the competition that is off. If you wish to continue fishing in your own boats, this remains the judgement call of each skipper, as ever.
Mike
Safety Officer
Corsica and East Germany look great.
Adam! Your call on a trailaway?
Following through to the last barometric chart although there is a low mid Atlantic to the SW of us, there is the beginings of a ridge of high pressure building up between the Bay of Biscay and the sw approaches of the UK. This if it continues to develop could mean a few days of good weather in about a weeks time.
Mad Mike
If you're wrong, I know where you live! 
Remember, before making rash statements like this, you're dealing with desperate men. 
Terry.
If you're wrong, I know where you live!
Terry.
But then again I could be wrong! 
Mad Mike